If you’re looking for a thought-provoking read that challenges traditional methods of probability and statistics, then Aubrey Clayton’s “Bernoulli’s Fallacy” is a must-read. Clayton argues that the standard interpretation of probability is fundamentally flawed, making it ineffective in making sense of the world.
This book offers a thorough exploration of the history of probability and statistics, highlighting their controversial past and association with racist ideologies like eugenics. It also delves into the limitations of frequentist methodologies and how they fail to accurately represent reality.
Despite some minor criticisms, I found “Bernoulli’s Fallacy” to be an engaging and enlightening read. Whether you work in medicine, biology, or any field that deals with statistics, this book will provide plenty of food for thought.
